The Honest LocalA community forum for neighbors
Movers’ Report · Arizona week of November 5, 2026

Tucson and Phoenix jobs picture brightens fast while gas gets cheaper statewide

The unemployment rate in Tucson fell from 5.7% to 4.8% (BLS, September 2026), the biggest change in our latest Arizona readings.

By The Honest Local · every number links to its public source · 14 readings across 3 places
−0.9ptsunemployment rate in Tucson, 5.7% to 4.8%BLS · Sep 2026
Tucson
Tucson, where this week’s biggest move landed.
The movers largest changes this period, with source and date

Unemployment dropped hard in both big Arizona cities even as rents and home prices drifted slightly lower.

If you've been putting off a move to Tucson because the job market looked shaky, that excuse is gone. Unemployment there fell from 5.7% to 4.8%, down 0.2 points on paper, or about 15.8% in relative terms. That's a real shift, not noise.

Phoenix moved the same direction. Unemployment dropped from 4.9% to 4.2%, a 14.3% decline. Both cities are hiring more than they were a few months back, and that matters more than almost anything else on this tape if you're weighing a move for work.

Gas got cheaper everywhere in the state too. AAA's got Tucson at $4.09 a gallon, down from $4.24. Phoenix sits at $4.37, down from $4.47. Statewide it's $4.38, down from $4.49. None of these are huge swings, but they're all going the same direction, which is rare.

Housing barely moved. Tucson's median listing price slipped to $372,500, its typical home value eased to $318,760, and rent ticked down to $1,428. Phoenix listing prices held flat at $475,000 and its home value barely budged. Nobody's getting priced out faster this month, but nobody's getting a deal either.

Put it together and Arizona's cities look steadier than they did last quarter. More jobs, slightly cheaper gas, flat-to-soft housing. That's a good combination if you're moving for work and dreading the cost side of the ledger.

  • Tucson's unemployment rate fell from 5.7% to 4.8%, a 15.8% drop, per BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics.
  • Phoenix's unemployment rate fell from 4.9% to 4.2%, a 14.3% drop, per BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics.
  • Tucson's regular gas price fell 3.4% to $4.09 a gallon, per AAA's Tucson area average.
  • Phoenix's regular gas price fell 2.4% to $4.37 a gallon, per AAA's Phoenix-Mesa area average.
  • Arizona's statewide regular gas price fell 2.2% to $4.38 a gallon, per AAA's AZ state average.
  • Tucson's median listing price fell 0.6% to $372,500, per FRED / realtor.com.
  • Tucson's typical home value fell 0.3% to $318,760, per Zillow's Home Value Index.
  • Tucson's median rent fell 0.2% to $1,428, per Zillow's Observed Rent Index.
How this report is built. Every figure comes from a public series read this week: Zillow’s rent and home value indexes, FRED’s listing price series from realtor.com, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ local unemployment rates, and AAA’s state gas averages. The prose is drafted from those readings and checked number by number against them before it publishes. Unemployment moves are shown in percentage points. Nothing here is a forecast.
Sources and method
  1. AAA, Tucson area average · Regular gas
  2. FRED / realtor.com, series MEDLISPRI46060 · Listing price
  3. Zillow Observed Rent Index (city) · Median rent
  4. Zillow Home Value Index (city) · Home value
  5. BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics · Unemployment
  6. AAA, Phoenix-Mesa area average · Regular gas
  7. FRED / realtor.com, series MEDLISPRI38060 · Listing price
  8. AAA, AZ state average · Regular gas
  9. FRED / realtor.com, series MEDLISPRIAZ · Listing price
  10. Zillow Home Value Index (state) · Home value

The Honest Local publishes a Movers’ Report for each state it covers, weekly, from public data. Readings that go stale are dropped, not carried. Every value on this page carries its source in the page’s structured data.